Latest Duluth Area Text Forecast Discussion product from NWS:
350
FXUS63 KDLH 021150
AFDDLH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
550 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Flurries will linger into this morning before dissipating
throughout the day. Cold conditions are expected tonight.
- Temperatures around normal will last into the mid week, with
partly sunny skies.
- Warmer temperatures and mixed precipitation will arrive with
another clipper on Thursday before a cool down on Friday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 350 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026
Lingering moisture across the Northland continues to support a
deck of low stratus clouds and scattered light snow flurries
today, particularly across northeast Minnesota and the
Arrowhead. While dry air is beginning to push in from the
northwest to thin the cloud cover, the process will be slow.
Areas along the South Shore of Lake Superior may see these
flurries linger longer into tonight as limited lake moisture
interacts with the cold airmass. Temperatures today will
struggle to reach the mid teens and overnight lows dip down into
the single digits below zero. Combined with light winds, wind
chill values are expected to drop to between 15 and 20 below
zero by early Tuesday morning.
We are heading into a relatively quiet stretch for the early
work week as a weak ridge and surface high pressure settle over
the region. Monday and Tuesday will feature more sunshine and a
gradual recovery in temperatures. By Wednesday, highs will
return to the 20s. A weak upper-level disturbance is forecast
to move through Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. However,
because there is very little moisture available for this system
to work with, the most likely outcome is simply an increase in
cloud cover or a few stray flurries. The probability of any
measurable snow accumulation during this mid-week period remains
very low, near 10 percent.
Attention shifts to a stronger clipper system expected to move
through the Northland later in the week. Ahead of this system on
Thursday, a warmer airmass will move east into the region from
the west, pushing daytime temperatures to near or slightly above
the freezing mark. As the precipitation moves in, it will
likely begin as a mix of rain and snow. Confidence is increasing
that we may see a period of freezing precipitation or freezing
rain near the freezing line. While the exact location and
probability of occurrence of this icing remains uncertain, it
is a monitored threat for Thursday afternoon and evening.
Following the passage of this clipper, another round of cooler
air will briefly drop temperatures back toward seasonal norms
for Friday under high pressure, but a quick warming trend is
expected to resume over the weekend with highs returning to the
20s and 30s.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 542 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026
VFR/MVFR stratus is starting to clear across east central
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin. This will continue to
dissipate throughout the morning as dry air moves into the area
and the sun comes up. However, wherever there is cloud cover
across northeast Minnesota, on and off flurries to light snow
are possible, leading to MVFR visibilities along with the
VFR/MVFR ceilings. Once the clouds dissipate, conditions are
expected to be VFR.
&&
.MARINE /FOR NEARSHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/...
Issued at 350 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the nearshore
waters from Grand Portage to Duluth until 10 AM this morning.
Northwest winds of 10 to 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots will
persist behind a cold front before subsiding this afternoon.
Waves in ice-free areas will be 1 to 3 feet, subsiding to 1 foot
or less later today. Quiet conditions are expected for Tuesday
with winds becoming variable under 10 knots.
For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area
Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.
&&
.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for
LSZ140>144.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...KML
AVIATION...KML
MARINE...KML
NWS DLH Office Area Forecast Discussion
