Latest Duluth Area Text Forecast Discussion product from NWS:
600
FXUS63 KDLH 120540
AFDDLH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1140 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above average temperatures are forecast through the next 7
days. Temperatures trend closer to normal by next Wednesday.
Highs will be 10 to 20 degrees above normal starting Friday.
- Quiet weather continues through the weekend. There is a 10%
chance of light snow Sunday night.
- A more active pattern is forecast next week. A low pressure
system may move through the Midwest Tuesday through Thursday
which brings a risk of wintry mixed precipitation.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 324 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026
High pressure over the region gave generally clear skies today.
A few clouds persisted over the eastern Arrowhead, portions of
northwest Wisconsin, and central Minnesota. A shortwave trough
over the southern Canadian Prairies was noted in mesoanalysis
and GOES-East water vapor imagery. The shortwave trough will
scoot eastward and weaken overnight. Surface high pressure will
shift farther east allowing a southerly low-level return flow to
develop tonight. There appears to be sufficient low-level
moisture for weak isentropic ascent to create low stratus over
central Minnesota this evening which will spread northward with
time overnight. There is a question of how far east the stratus
will progress which creates uncertainty in low temperature
forecasts tonight. Areas that see stratus will likely stay 3 to
10 or more degrees warmer than areas that remain clear. Low
temps tonight are forecast in the lower single digits above zero
in the Arrowhead and much of northwest Wisconsin to the middle
to upper teens in central and north-central Minnesota.
Low stratus is expected to dissipate by late Thursday morning
with another day of quiet and warmer temperatures expected.
Highs in the upper 20s along the North Shore to the upper 30s
away from Lake Superior. Warm and relatively quiet conditions
will persist through the weekend. A subtle trough may move
eastward across the region Sunday night and Monday morning.
Right now the risk of snow is around 10%.
A change to a more active pattern is expected next week. A deep
upper-level trough will develop over the eastern Pacific over
the weekend. The trough is forecast to propagate eastward
gradually through late next Thursday. Strong upper-level flow
over the central CONUS will bring the potential for one or more
strong low pressure systems to develop and traverse the Midwest.
There is a very wide spread in model solutions during that
time. Many models bring some form of precipitation into the
Northland. As of this afternoon most solutions reveal a
rain/snow mix trending toward snow in later portions of the
forecast. Shovelable and plowable snowfall amounts are not out
of the question. Keep up with the forecast through the weekend
into early next week as we refine the details.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1133 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026
High to mid level clouds are off to our west, but still VFR. VFR
conditions are expected throughout the TAF period as chances for
fog forming have decreased considerably. Winds will also change
from southeast to west to southwest by morning and remain less
than 10 kts.
&&
.MARINE /FOR NEARSHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/...
Issued at 324 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026
No significant marine hazards forecast for the next several
days as high pressure drifts east across the region. A period of
stronger winds and building waves is possible early next week.
For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area
Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.
&&
.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Huyck
AVIATION...KML
MARINE...Huyck
NWS DLH Office Area Forecast Discussion
